2024 Kentucky Derby: Weather forecast could lead to sloppy track conditions at race time


Kentucky Derby Getty Churchill Downs Twin Spires

The 2024 Kentucky Derby is slated for Saturday, May 4 with a post time of 6:57 p.m. at Churchill Downs in Kentucky. The iconic Run for the Roses is the first leg of the Triple Crown races, and this year will mark the 150th edition of the event.

Florida Derby winner Fierceness is the current favorite at 5/2, followed closely by Sierra Leone at 3-1. Fierceness trained by eight-time Eclipse Award winner Todd Pletcher. Sierra Leone is trained by Chad Brown, who also trains longshot Domestic Product.

Which horses do you take on Saturday afternoon during the 150th Run for the Roses? And in what combinations? Visit SportsLine to get Demling’s picks for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.

Since the race is outdoors, weather conditions always have a large impact on the event. Per Horse Racing Nation, the coldest temperature ever recorded for the Kentucky Derby was 36 degrees in May 4, 1940 and May 4, 1957. The warmest temperature was 94 degrees in May 2, 1959.

While Friday’s Kentucky Oaks is likely going to experience cloudy but fair weather, the jury is still out for Saturday. According to AccuWeather, there is the chance of “a thunderstorm in spots.”

Here is a look at the weather predictions for this Saturday:

2024 Kentucky Derby forecast

Service: The Weather Channel
Projected weather: Scattered thunderstorms
Projected temperatures: High of 81, low of 65 degrees
Race-time projection: 79 degrees
Chance of rain: 48% chance of thunderstorms at race time

Service: AccuWeather
Projected weather: Clouds and sun with a thunderstorm in spots
Projected temperatures: High of 82, real feel of 84 degrees while standing in the sun
Race-time projection: 53% chance of thunderstorms
Chance of rain:
 40% chance of rain during the day





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