Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina has been one of the most esteemed stops on the PGA Tour schedule since it first appeared in 1969 and, for the second time in its history, it will host a major championship. The 2025 PGA Championship will be held at Quail Hollow from May 15 to 18, the second major of the season. Bryson DeChambeau was in the final pairing in the 2025 Masters, but went on to finish fifth after a final-round 75. DeChambeau will be back in action at Quail Hollow after a runner-up finish in the PGA Championship last year. He’s 10-1 in the 2025 PGA Championship odds. Before locking in your 2025 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, its fourth Masters in a row, and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 PGA Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 PGA Championship predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele
One shocker the model is calling at the PGA Championship 2025: Xander Schauffele, the defending champion and a two-time major winner, barely cracks the top 10 of the leaderboard. Schauffele broke through for his first major title at the PGA Championship in 2024, beating DeChambeau by one stroke. He went on to win the Open Championship at Royal Troon last July, but he hasn’t tasted victory since.
Schauffele dealt with a rib injury early in 2025 that caused him to miss two months of action. The 31-year-old has recorded just one top-10 finish this season, and he’s been widely inconsistent off the tee, which will be a major issue at a course like Quail Hollow. Schauffele enters the 2025 PGA Championship ranked 158th in driving accuracy (54.17%) and 162nd in strokes gained: off the tee (-0.439). He also ranks outside the top 150 in scoring average (71.04), scrambling (55.80%) and one-putt percentage (38.19%). Schauffele is going off at 19-1 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
The model has also locked in its projection for Rory McIlroy, a five-time major winner and the newest Grand Slam champion. McIlroy admitted that he’d been carrying a heavy burden during his decade-long pursuit of a green jacket to complete the career grand slam, but now he can get on with the business of stacking up major championships. He’s already won three times this season and he’s a four-time Wells Fargo Championship (now the Truist Championship) winner, which is played at Quail Hollow.
Three of those four victories came by four shots or more, so it’s a course that is clearly well-suited to his game. However, in the 10 years since his last PGA Championship win, he’s been more likely to finish outside the top 20 (five times) than inside the top 10 (three times). That includes a t-22nd finish when the 2017 PGA Championship was held at Quail Hollow, despite the fact that he’d already won there twice by that stage of his career.
Meanwhile, the model has examined Scottie Scheffler’s chances of winning his first major outside of Augusta National. Scheffler missed the first month of the PGA Tour season following hand surgery and was a bit inconsistent when he returned to the course. He notched top 10s in just two of his first five starts before finding the form which led to a historic 2024 season. Scheffler has recorded top 10s in each of his last four tournaments, including three top 5s and a win in his last event at the Byron Nelson.
For all of his dominance over the last few years, Scheffler still has yet to win a major tournament outside of Augusta National. He’s been close at the PGA Championship, with four top 10s over his last five appearances. However, that one outlier was a missed cut in 2022, which is his only missed cut over his last 18 major tournaments. Scheffler has yet to play Quail Hollow in an official event, with his only appearance there being a part of the winning U.S. Team at the 2022 Presidents Cup, where Scheffler went 0-3-1 in overall play. See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting four golfers with odds longer than 20-1 who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including the last four Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 PGA Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +450
Rory McIlroy +480
Bryson Dechambeau +1000
Ludvig Aberg +1900
Xander Schauffele +1900
Jon Rahm +2000
Collin Morikawa +2100
Justin Thomas +2100
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Viktor Hovland +3400
Jordan Spieth +4100
Brooks Koepka +4400
Tommy Fleetwood +4400
Patrick Cantlay +4400
Will Zalatoris +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4800
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Si Woo Kim +5500
Tom Kim +5500
Shane Lowry +6500
Jason Day +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Patrick Reed +7000
Justin Rose +7000
Dustin Johnson +7500
Sungjae Im +7500
Sahith Theegala +7500
Min Woo Lee +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Corey Conners +8500
Cameron Young +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Cameron Smith +9500
Wyndham Clark +9500
Sepp Straka +10000
Maverick McNealy +10000
Max Homa +11000
Robert MacIntyre +12000
Nicolai Hojgaard +12000
Tony Finau +14000
Sam Burns +15000
Adam Scott +15000
Rickie Fowler +15000
Billy Horschel +16000
Dean Burmester +16000
Taylor Pendrith +16000
Talor Gooch +16000
Byeong Hun An +16000
Keegan Bradley +17000
Thomas Detry +17000
Stephan Jaeger +19000
Aaron Rai +19000
Nick Dunlap +19000
Keita Nakajima +19000
Harris English +19000
Rasmus Hojgaard +19000
Cameron Davis +19000
Matt McCarty +19000
Nick Taylor +19000
Davis Riley +19000