The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) and the Houston Texans (9-5) will square off in an AFC battle on Saturday during the Week 16 NFL schedule. The Chiefs are fighting to earn the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff bracket. They have won four straight games, defeating the Cleveland Browns, 21-7, last week. The Texans have secured two wins in a row. Last week, Houston beat the Miami Dolphins, 20-12. The Chiefs are the top seed in the AFC, with Houston coming in as the fourth seed. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes (ankle) was a full participant at practice all week and is active for this matchup. Texans starting linebacker Christian Harris (ankle) is active.
Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is set for 1 p.m. ET. After opening at -4, Kansas City is now a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Chiefs odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 42.5, down two points from the opener. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Texans picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model, as well as everything else that SportsLine has to help you crush your Week 16 picks.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 27-11 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 207-139 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 61-32 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
Now, the model has simulated Texans vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Texans vs. Chiefs:
- Texans vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -3.5
- Texans vs. Chiefs over/under: 42 points
- Texans vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -187, Houston +156
- HOU: Texans are 6-6-2 against the spread this season
- KC: Chiefs are 6-8 against the spread this season
- Texans vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Texans vs. Chiefs streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Chiefs can cover
Mahomes puts his team in the best position to win games and score points. This season, he ranks ninth in the league in passing yards (3,348) and passing touchdowns (22) with a 64.6 QBR. Mahomes has thrown for multiple passing touchdowns in seven games this season.
Receiver Xavier Worthy has finished with at least 40 receiving yards in five straight games. Last week, he had 46 receiving yards, 30 rushing yards and a score. Tight end Travis Kelce has a knack for making huge catches in clutch situations. This season, Kelce has 84 receptions, 709 receiving yards and two scores. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Texans can cover
Running back Joe Mixon has been a consistent playmaker for this squad. The Oklahoma product is 12th in the NFL in rushing yards (910) and tied for seventh in rushing touchdowns (11). He has also added 277 receiving yards. The 28-year-old has compiled seven games with 100-plus rushing yards.
Receiver Nico Collins finds a way to attack the field on all three levels with ease. Collins leads the team in receiving yards (849) and touchdowns (6) despite missing five games. The Michigan product has 12 catches of 20-plus yards. He scored two touchdowns in the win over the Dolphins last week. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Texans vs. Chiefs picks
The model is leaning Over the point total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks.
So who wins Chiefs vs. Texans in Week 16 on Saturday, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Texans spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.
