A star-studded showdown takes center stage when the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) host the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) on Sunday Night Football. This is Kansas City’s first road game of the season after the Chiefs went 6-2 as visitors a year ago. As for Atlanta, the Falcons were 5-3 at home in 2023. However, the Falcons fell to the Pittsburgh Steelers 18-10 in the home opener in Week 1. This is the second primetime game of the season for both clubs as well.
Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Falcons odds via the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before locking in any Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up!
Now, the model has simulated Chiefs vs. Falcons 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and Falcons vs. Chiefs betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Chiefs vs. Falcons:
- Chiefs vs. Falcons spread: Kansas City -3
- Chiefs vs. Falcons over/under: 46.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Falcons money line: Kansas City -168, Atlanta +141
- ATL: Falcons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in five of their last seven games at home
- KC: Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games
- Chiefs vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City has built a defense that is disruptive on every level. The Chiefs have defensive tackle Chris Jones wreaking havoc along the interior. Jones plays both the run and pass very well due to his power and instincts. In his nine-year career, he has compiled 276 total tackles, 79 TFLs, and 76.5 sacks. Jones has three campaigns with double-digit sacks.
Trent McDuffie has developed into a dominant cornerback. He has the agility and quickness to flip his hips in any direction. Meanwhile, his awareness helps him make plays on the ball. In 29 career games, the Washington product has 132 total stops, six forced fumbles, four sacks, and 15 pass breakups. According to PFF, he has a 79.9 overall grade and an 80.9 coverage grade. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Falcons can cover
Running back Bijan Robinson is an energetic and electric playmaker in the backfield. Robinson has the elusiveness to make defenders miss while having great hands as a pass catcher. The Texas product also owns the vision to quickly redirect. This season, Robinson has 165 rushing yards while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. He also has reeled in nine passes for 68 yards.
Wide receiver Ray-Ray McCloud III has been a surprising playmaker for Atlanta. Even though McCloud III is 5’9, he isn’t afraid to go over the middle and absorb contact. The Clemson product has seven catches for 94 yards thus far. Tight end Kyle Pitts is another athletic weapon for Atlanta. Pitts can be a matchup nightmare due to his height (6’6) and speed. In four seasons, the Florida product has 155 catches for 2,095 yards and seven scores. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Chiefs vs. Falcons picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 49 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks.
So who wins Chiefs vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
