College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 3, 2023: Proven computer model backs Tennessee, Purdue

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Top-ranked Georgia will play its first SEC game of the season, hosting South Carolina on Saturday. The Bulldogs went 14-0, including 8-0 in the SEC, en route to winning their second straight National Championship last season, and even though Stetson Bennett is now with the Rams in the NFL, Georgia still has one of the best rosters in college football. Georgia is a 27.5-point favorite according to the Week 3 college football odds from the SportsLine consensus after defeating South Carolina by 41 points last season.

Should you include Georgia in Week 3 college football picks? The Bulldogs won their first two games by a combined 83 points but South Carolina will be a much tougher test. Many of the top teams in the country are heavy favorites in the Week 3 college football spreads, including No. 2 Michigan (-40.5) against Bowling Green, No. 3 Florida State (-25.5) against Boston College and No. 4 Texas (-28.5) against Wyoming. Before locking in any college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 3 and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for Week 3

One of the college football picks the model is recommending for Saturday: No. 11 Tennessee (-7) wins by double digits at Florida in a 7 p.m. ET kickoff at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The Volunteers are coming off a disappointing 30-13 win over Austin Peay as 49-point home favorites last week, but they should be keyed up for another chance to take down Florida.

The Volunteers won 38-33 at home last season with Hendon Hooker producing 461 yards of total offense and three total touchdowns. Hooker ran out of eligibility and is now plying his trade in the NFL but his former roommate Joe Milton still gives Tennessee one of the nation’s most dynamic offenses and you can expect the Volunteers to lean heavily on a dynamic rushing attack.

The Vols have rushed for 515 yards over the first two weeks of the season with Jaylen Wright rushing for 233 yards while Jabari Small has also contributed 162 rushing yards. Milton and Dylan Sampson have also both rushed for a trio of touchdowns and that quartet should give Tennessee a lot of options on the ground, which is a big reason why the model has the Vols covering the spread in almost 60% of simulations.

Another prediction: Purdue (+2.5) beats Syracuse outright on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Purdue is coming off a 24-17 victory over Virginia Tech. Syracuse has impressed with two victories by a combined 106 points, but with those matchups coming against Colgate and Western Michigan, Syracuse hasn’t been tested like Purdue was with the Hokies.

Syracuse defeated Purdue, 32-29, at the Carrier Dome last year and now Purdue has a chance to avenge that loss at home. The Orange are 6-15 on the road since 2019 and 2-6 in their last eight games against the Big Ten. Hudson Card, who transferred to Purdue from Texas, is completing 62.5% of his passes for 502 yards and two touchdowns to begin his junior year. Syracuse lost six of its last seven games last season and after being untested to open the 2023 college football season, the model is fading the Orange. The Boilermakers are covering the spread in almost 70% of simulations. See which other teams the model likes here.

How to make college football picks for Week 3

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 3, and it’s calling for several other underdogs to win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs win outright? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned nearly $2,500 in profit since its inception, and find out.

College football odds for Week 3 top games 

See full Week 3 college football picks, odds, predictions here

Thursday, Sept. 14

Navy at Memphis (-14.5, 47.5)

Friday, Sept. 15

Virginia at Maryland (-14, 50.5)

Army at UTSA (-11, 46)

Utah State at Air Force (-9, 47)

Saturday, Sept. 16

Florida State at Boston College (+27.5, 55)

Louisville at Indiana (+10, 54)

Penn State at Illinois (+14, 48.5)

LSU at Mississippi State (+10, 53)

Kansas State at Missouri (+5.5, 46)

South Carolina at Georgia (-27, 55)

Minnesota at North Carolina (-7.5, 49)

Washington at Michigan State (+16, 58)

Tennessee at Florida (+7, 57.5)

BYU at Arkansas (-10, 52)

TCU at Houston (+7.5, 62)

Colorado State at Colorado (-22.5, 59)

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