It’s almost hard to believe that Patrick Mahomes was a disappointment for some Fantasy football managers in 2023. Despite the Kansas City Chiefs starter winning his third title and garnering Super Bowl MVP honors, he was inconsistent from a Fantasy football standpoint. In fact, Mahomes had his worst season statistically since taking over as KC’s starter in 2018, and ended the 2023 campaign as Fantasy QB8.
Mahomes is still projected to be selected in the first round of 2024 Fantasy football drafts, but his 2023 season shows you shouldn’t draft based on how well-recognized a player is. Should Mahomes be atop your 2024 Fantasy football rankings, or is he destined to be one of the 2024 Fantasy football busts? As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle’s 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He’d go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he’d finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. He topped the league with 4,624 passing yards in 2023 and made it through the season injury free. However, that number could have been higher had he not cooled off considerably after Miami’s bye week.
Tagovailoa was QB20 in Fantasy scoring from Week 9 on as he only averaged 245.3 passing yards and 1.2 touchdowns passes per game, even with a top-notch receiving corps. He also doesn’t like to run the ball himself, which puts a further dent in his production. There is no doubt that Tagovailoa will have more impressive games in 2024, but his late-season dip makes him a less appealing Fantasy football draft option.
Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Vikings running back Aaron Jones. Due to hamstring and knee injuries, Jones missed six games last year, leading to his worst numbers since his rookie year in 2017. Jones had 889 total yards and three touchdowns after averaging 1,431 yards and 12 TDs over the previous four seasons. Green Bay released him in the offseason, and Jones signed with the division rival Vikings.
However, Jones is downgrading in terms of offensive lines. The Vikings have ranked among the bottom eight NFL teams in both rushing yards and yards per carry in each of the last two seasons, despite having Dalvin Cook for one of those. Additionally, not only is Jones coming off an injury-plagued season, but his 4.6 yards per carry in 2023 matched a career-low and he will turn 30 years old this season. There are just too many red flags with Jones as the model has him outside its top 20 running backs in its 2024 Fantasy football rankings. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.
